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Eli

[MBB] Game #14: 12/20/17 - 9:00pm - @ Louisville

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Last Up: W (68-65) vs Canisius
Next Up: @ Louisville (8-2, 6-1 at home...beat $iena by 26, Bryant by 43 and Memphis by 9)
TV/Streaming: ESPNU/WatchESPN
Local Radio: 104.5 FM
We were lucky to win the last game. Nichols and to an extent Cremo are in a funk and luckily others stepped up (Charles) and we squeaked out a win. Defense has been poor all season long and was probably at it's worst against Canisius. IMO, goal here is to keep it under 15-20.
Pre-game stat tracker:
UAlbany Wins																												
** Albany stats are the left side in each grouping **																												
Opponent	PTS		FGM		FGA		FG%		FTM		FTA		FT%		3PTM		3PTA		3PT%		RBG		AST		TO		FOUL	
Iona		69	67	24	26	62	59	38.7%	44.1%	17	11	19	14	89.5%	78.6%	4	4	15	22	26.7%	18.2%	47	27	6	14	13	7	16	21
Boston U.	88	74	32	29	56	65	57.1%	44.6%	21	8	29	11	72.4%	72.7%	3	8	5	27	60.0%	29.6%	38	27	11	13	11	7	15	21
Yale		80	72	32	28	59	67	54.2%	41.8%	13	9	19	13	68.4%	69.2%	3	7	14	28	21.4%	25.0%	40	30	16	10	15	13	15	17
Oneonta		102	77	37	23	72	57	51.4%	40.4%	21	21	28	28	75.0%	75.0%	7	10	21	25	33.3%	40.0%	48	31	17	13	7	14	24	28
Dartmouth	91	73	34	27	64	49	53.1%	55.1%	15	11	16	12	93.8%	91.7%	8	8	17	17	47.1%	47.1%	28	25	13	11	12	20	13	19
Holy Cross	78	62	31	24	58	48	53.4%	50.0%	6	9	10	14	60.0%	64.3%	10	5	21	18	47.6%	27.8%	32	23	18	11	7	9	15	14
Colgate		75	69	25	25	59	55	42.4%	45.5%	19	11	23	16	82.6%	68.8%	6	8	18	22	33.3%	36.4%	39	24	14	9	11	9	15	20
Columbia	86	82	28	31	62	61	45.2%	50.8%	24	11	29	18	82.8%	61.1%	6	9	13	20	46.2%	45.0%	37	36	13	19	9	16	15	25
Bryant		84	68	33	24	61	61	54.1%	39.3%	9	9	13	16	69.2%	56.3%	9	11	17	26	52.9%	42.3%	40	27	21	21	14	9	14	16
Siena		74	69	26	24	55	50	47.3%	48.0%	17	12	25	17	68.0%	70.6%	5	9	15	20	33.3%	45.0%	30	27	11	10	12	16	15	22
Canisius	68	65	26	28	53	61	49.1%	45.9%	14	3	20	7	70.0%	42.9%	2	6	10	22	20.0%	27.3%	33	29	11	19	12	10	11	20
																												
OOC W Tot.	895	778	328	289	661	633	49.6%	45.7%	176	115	231	166	76.2%	69.3%	63	85	166	247	38.0%	34.4%	412	306	151	150	123	130	168	223
OOC W Avg.	81.4	70.7	29.8	26.3	60.1	57.5	49.6%	45.7%	16.0	10.5	21.0	15.1	76.2%	69.3%	5.7	7.7	15.1	22.5	38.0%	34.4%	37.5	27.8	13.7	13.6	11.2	11.8	15.3	20.3
																												
UAlbany Losses																												
** Albany stats are the left side in each grouping **																												
Opponent	PTS		FGM		FGA		FG%		FTM		FTA		FT%		3PTM		3PTA		3PT%		RBG		AST		TO		FOUL	
Monmouth	73	81	26	28	54	56	48.1%	50.0%	18	17	28	24	64.3%	70.8%	3	8	11	18	27.3%	44.4%	41	29	5	12	15	8	23	24
Memphis		58	67	21	23	61	49	34.4%	46.9%	12	17	15	24	80.0%	70.8%	4	4	17	17	23.5%	23.5%	38	33	8	10	14	12	18	16
																												
OOC L Tot.	131	148	47	51	115	105	40.9%	48.6%	30	34	43	48	69.8%	70.8%	7	12	28	35	25.0%	34.3%	79	62	13	22	29	20	41	40
OOC L Avg.	65.5	74.0	23.5	25.5	57.5	52.5	40.9%	48.6%	15.0	17.0	21.5	24.0	69.8%	70.8%	3.5	6.0	14.0	17.5	25.0%	34.3%	39.5	31.0	6.5	11.0	14.5	10.0	20.5	20.0
																												
Total (all)	1026	926	375	340	776	738	48.3%	46.1%	206	149	274	214	75.2%	69.6%	70	97	194	282	36.1%	34.4%	491	368	164	172	152	150	209	263
Average (all)	78.9	71.2	28.8	26.2	59.7	56.8	48.4%	46.3%	15.8	11.5	21.1	16.5	75.1%	68.7%	5.4	7.5	14.9	21.7	36.4%	34.7%	37.8	28.3	12.6	13.2	11.7	11.5	16.1	20.2
		PTS		FGM		FGA		FG%		FTM		FTA		FT%		3PTM		3PTA		3PT%		RBG		AST		TO		FOUL	

 

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After the first 8-10 minutes I thought the defense was actually pretty decent. First game this season they allowed less than 1 point per possession.

 

Louisville's the best shot blocking team in the country right now. Have to hit from the outside at a good clip to have a chance.

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Gonna be a tough one. We need to also limit bonehead turnovers, play with energy (come back to the ball on passes, crisp passing, etc.). That was a bigger issue against Memphis than our shooting IMO. We gave them easy chances on turnovers.

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Most rankings have us a 13 - 18-point dog, around 12% chance to win. betus,com says the line is 15, O/U is 146 1/2.

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I hope to be wrong, but I think if we are within 20 it’ll be a decent night. We make our living at short range and in the paint. If the threes are not falling at 50%+ there will be nowhere else to go. If Charles is neutralized.....Stire picks up a couple early fouls...it’ll be getting late early. Gotta play lights out tonight! No pressure!!

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100-1 payout if you bet Albany wins by more than 21

50-1 payout if you bet Albany wins between 10-13 points

22-1 payout if you be Albany wins by 1-2

18-1 payout if you bet Louisville wins by 1-2

6-1 payout for Louisville wins by 14-16

5-1 payout for Louisville wins by 17-20

4.5-1 payout for Louisville wins by 10-13

2-1 payout for Louisville wins by 21+

 

I skipped a bunch of the other options, but chose some of the even numbers to illustrate a point. The majority of the betting world thinks this will be a blowout win by Louisville and it will be a 21+ point loss.

 

They probably aren't wrong, but I am thinking that 7-1 with Louisville winning by 7-9 isn't a bad bet at those odds.

Edited by godanesgo99

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I got no expectations for this game considering how terrible we looked against an athletic Memphis..I guess fingers crossed we don't get worked for 25+.

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I heard Will Brown mention that they put Fruscio on Stires shoulders on defense in practice to simulate Louisvilles length.

 

Maybe the refs will allow that in game.

Edited by godanesgo99
  • Like 1

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Siena up 9 on Memphis near the end of the first half. Is it bad the I searched Memphis on the app instead of Siena so they wouldn't get any credit for search results?

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Siena up 9 on Memphis near the end of the first half. Is it bad the I searched Memphis on the app instead of Siena so they wouldn't get any credit for search results?

$iena sucks

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Wow. Shot got ERASED.

 

Edit: looked stronger in real time.

Edited by Eli

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