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Now I will save at least one person the trouble and note that this post was in jest and not meant to be taken seriously, otherwise someone might think that I am an uneducated sports fan who has no clue what he is talking about.

 

Either way I like our probability....GO DANES!!!!

12308[/snapback]

Hey, some of us are anal...

 

Yeah, the example of 50% was for illustration as to why you multiply. Using the estimates, for the 1 vs. 5 game I'd go for a little less than 75%, but either way I like our chances better than anybody else's.

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Hey, some of us are anal...

 

Yeah, the example of 50% was for illustration as to why you multiply. Using the estimates, for the 1 vs. 5 game I'd go for a little less than 75%, but either way I like our chances better than anybody else's.

12309[/snapback]

 

 

How about if you set the percentages of winning according to the difference in the two seeds in the game? (If 2 plays 7, gap is 5, and so on).

 

I tried these numbers for fun:

Gap, Percent of Time Higher Seed Wins

1 0.55

2 0.6

3 0.65

4 0.7

5 0.75

6 0.8

7 0.85

8 0.9

 

From there you can calculate different scenarios.

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